Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.339141 0.445297 0.561382 0.695854 0.845632 1.005848 1.188784
2025-08-17 0.163804 0.290953 0.449178 0.650324 0.891002 1.163151 1.488265
2025-08-24 0.077996 0.197418 0.366934 0.599942 0.893839 1.238723 1.662442
2025-08-31 0.035697 0.143635 0.320797 0.582311 0.926704 1.342417 1.863624
2025-09-07 0.015796 0.113414 0.298847 0.589361 0.984723 1.471761 2.091054
2025-09-14 0.003948 0.084692 0.271172 0.582940 1.021434 1.572216 2.281777
2025-09-21 0.000009 0.058882 0.240089 0.566151 1.040620 1.648121 2.440611
2025-09-28 NaN 0.053073 0.245165 0.603166 1.132062 1.814859 2.710289
2025-10-05 NaN 0.050566 0.256260 0.649276 1.235942 1.997524 2.999784
2025-10-12 NaN 0.045656 0.260512 0.683746 1.323301 2.158911 3.263057
2025-10-19 NaN 0.046252 0.277726 0.739496 1.440742 2.359316 3.575040
2025-10-26 NaN 0.043096 0.284732 0.777987 1.533662 2.528038 3.847796
2025-11-02 NaN 0.032880 0.271721 0.784431 1.584513 2.647190 4.065714
2025-11-09 NaN 0.016302 0.229586 0.736717 1.555643 2.661710 4.153141
2025-11-16 NaN 0.005245 0.187800 0.682627 1.512991 2.654793 4.210740
2025-11-23 NaN 0.001432 0.166686 0.663802 1.520752 2.713370 4.349871
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000349 0.159357 0.671339 1.568214 2.825152 4.556783
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.145997 0.664464 1.592404 2.904791 4.722109
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.128748 0.646466 1.597769 2.957875 4.852637
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.136744 0.686123 1.695412 3.138311 5.148328
2025-12-28 NaN NaN 0.148846 0.735420 1.808676 3.340493 5.472436
2026-01-04 NaN NaN 0.155552 0.772203 1.901905 3.515107 5.760951
2026-01-11 NaN NaN 0.171995 0.831580 2.031508 3.740098 6.114979